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Fundamental & Technical Analysis in Forex Trading

By : Joon Trader
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Most Forex Traders will normally use either one of these 2 methods or both methods for their trades.

Fundamental analysis focuses on the theoretical models of exchange rate determination such as purchasing power parity (PPP) and the theory of elasticity. Fundamental analysis also concentrates on other major economic factors such as Gross National Product (GNP) that measures the economic performance of a nation economy. Other economic indicators include Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which refer to the sum of all goods and services produced in a country. Consumption spending, Investment and government spending are all very influential due to their sheer size and have great impact on a nation economic performance.

Inflation Indicators such as Producer price index (PPI), Consumer price index (CPI) are closely watched by traders to measure inflationary activity. For the Federal Reserve, the method of choice to flight inflation is to raise interest rates. And higher interest rates tend to support the local currency, in this case, the US dollar.

For the fundamentalists, this approach to examine all the factors will determine the real value of a currency. This is normally referred to as the intrinsic value. A fundamentalist believes that if the intrinsic value is below the current market price, there is a good opportunity to long or buy the currency. And if a currency current market price is higher than its intrinsic value, there is higher probability that the currency will falls, hence, opportunity to short or sell.

Technical analysis is the study of market action, mainly through the use of charts and indicators to forecast the future movement of a currency.

There are a few principles that a technical analyst applies. The price is a compressive reflection of all market forces.

To a technical analyst, regardless of what the fundamentalist are saying, the price you see is the price you get. Price moves in trend - up (bullish), down (bearish) and flat (sideway) until the trend is broken and a reversal takes place. The time duration of the trend may be long intermediate or short. The historical trend will repeat itself.

The tools of the technical analyst are indicators, chart pattern and system. Moving average, Bollinger band and Stochastic Oscillator are some of the indicators. Trend line, support and resistance are some examples of chart pattern.


About the author:
A Forex Trader trading with his own hardened money.
JoonTrader is the owner of forexdiscover. For further recommended resources on how to make money in Forex Trading. Click here to grab the secret to consistent pips.


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